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According to statements from Tesla Motors and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, life as we perceive it is almost definitely a Simulation where humans are just ‘characters’ in a ‘video game’ controlled by advanced alien civilizations. Musk said that “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality.”
Although we perceive the universe as being something enormous and real, in recent years, a growing number of researchers have considered the possibility that everything we perceive as reality, could in fact turn out to be a sophisticated simulation. Some have even proposed that the universe could be a hologram while others suggest everything we consider as the universe, could, in fact, be part of a highly advanced ‘code’.
Now, Elon Musk also tackled the possibility that we are living in a sophisticated simulation. During the Code Conference, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO made some very interesting comments about life, reality and alien civilizations that apparently, are in charge of the most ‘realistic’ game ever created.
At the conference, Musk was asked if he had ever considered the possibility that we are living in a simulated reality. Musk said that there’s a mere one in a billion chance that we are living in ‘base reality’ or the realest of realities.
Musk stated that the strongest argument that can make us believe we are living in a simulation is the following:
Forty years ago we had pong. Like, two rectangles and a dot. That was what games were. Now, 40 years later, we have photorealistic, 3D simulations with millions of people playing simultaneously, and it’s getting better every year. Soon we’ll have virtual reality, augmented reality.
If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the games will become indistinguishable from reality, even if that rate of advancement drops by a thousand from what it is now. Then you just say, okay, let’s imagine it’s 10,000 years in the future, which is nothing on the evolutionary scale.
So given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and those games could be played on any set-top box or on a PC or whatever, and there would probably be billions of such computers or set-top boxes, it would seem to follow that the odds that we’re in base reality is one in billions.
Tell me what’s wrong with that argument. Is there a flaw in that argument?
Taking in count the evolution of video games in the last forty years or so, Musk theorizes that there is a possibility that in reality we are living in a video game that has evolved over thousands of years where humans are just characters, controlled by an alien civilization thousands of years more advanced than we are.
Musk went on to say that “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality.” He continued:
Arguably we should hope that that’s true, because if civilization stops advancing, that may be due to some calamitous event that erases civilization. So maybe we should be hopeful this is a simulation, because otherwise we are going to create simulations indistinguishable from reality or civilization ceases to exist. We’re unlikely to go into some multimillion-year stasis.
One thing that later generations might do with their super-powerful computers is run detailed simulations of their forebears or of people like their forebears. Because their computers would be so powerful, they could run a great many such simulations, said Musk.
But in addition to Musk in the past couple of years scientists and researchers have considered the possibility we are living in a giant simulation.
Check out the interview with Elon Musk here: